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I would think filling out an absentee ballot for someone else is perhaps not the worst form of voter fraud, but it sure is unseemly. I wouldn’t do it for anyone else and I wouldn’t let anyone do it for me. I’m still aggravated that I was born a month too late to vote in 1988. I don’t have any qualms about not voting for a minority. Of the four minorities you mentioned, (black, woman, black woman, mormon,) I have no plans to vote for Clinton or Romney, and Rice has certainly disqualified herself in my view were she ever to run. That leaves Obama who I will happily vote for in the primary and hopefully in November, not in a vain wish to be involved in some romantic historical moment (although I can understand the urge), but because I think he has the best grasp of the problems facing the country and what must be done to solve them. |
Note that Mitt is often referred to by his first name. Also Hillary is called Senator Clinton frequently and occasionally as Mrs. Clinton, usually when the speaker wants to be derogatory. Calling her simply “Clinton” would be ambiguous. Finally, Senator Clinton’s campaign logo says, “Hillary for President” not “Clinton for President”. If she wins the presidency it will be interesting to see what she is called. I’m guessing President Hillary Clinton. Note that the Rodham seems to have been dropped several years ago. |
I proudly voted for Jesse Jackson in the 1988 Ohio Democratic primary, mostly to tick off my parents (I think I did vote absentee that year as an Ohioan for Bush). This year, I guess I’m a McCain guy. Barely. Yawn. It doesn’t matter, because I live in a GOP state. When my grandchildren ask me if I supported the Mormon candidate, I’ll say, “No, because I don’t believe in litmus tests…” :) |
The other candidate with a first name campaign logo is “Fred”. |
Don’t worry. Mitt Romney is not the first primary candidate with serious shot at the presidency. Mo Udall was a very serious candidate back in ’76. Therefore you don’t have to feel ashamed when talking to your great grandkids about firsts. Also, Romney is a cheap phoney and Obama (like Udall) is an admirable candidate. |
Let me rephrase the qualification, “first active Mormon with a legitimate interest in winning…” That effectively ought to eliminate Udall (not active, from what I know) and Hatch (who even admitted he just wanted to make it easier for the next Mormon … gee, thanks Orrin, good thing you did your job). |
Well, there was George Romney. He’s one I might have voted for. |
Brilliant analysis. Interesting that I don’t hear of him being characterized that way by the many different people who have worked with him. Why take pot shots? Are you regurgitating the opinions of others? Do you have some first hand knowledge that you can share with us that leads you to conclude Romney is a phony? If so, please share. |
Interesting that I don’t hear of him being characterized that way by the many different people who have worked with him. Well, duh. That’s because they’re on his payroll! If you want objective/brilliant analysis, you need to get away from the campaign spinners. Sadly, your own lack of first-hand knowledge undermines the effectiveness of your bitter attack on Mr. Hamer. |
Hey, everyone! Clearly my knowledge of political history is not what it should be. I’d heard that George Romney ran (and forgot when I wrote this post…), but I hadn’t known about Hatch, and I’d never heard of Mo Udall. What a cool name–did he take proper advantage of it? Good points about “Senator Clinton” and Fred Thompson, etc. I exonerate the media of charges of condescension toward women (or that woman). You know, Bill, you made an interesting point in your very first comment–Obama has your support because he has the best grasp, in your opinion, of the problems facing the country and what needs to be done. That’s actually been very persuasive for me–listening to the candidates and deciding which one sees the same problems I do. I don’t always know how to evaluate their proposed solutions, though–how do you factor in the law of unintended consequences to these sweeping campaign promises? |
Here’s a fascinating article on Romney by someone who is not on his payroll: |
And does anyone else get annoyed that the men of the race are called by their last names while the woman of the race gets called by her first name? Since when are last names the sole province of men? “Hillary” is just a way of distinguishing her from Bill. “Clinton” doesn’t accomplish that. Last time such a distinction was needed (much too recently) the affected party had to go all the way to his middle initial to be distinguished from his father. |
LOL – I love it when someone puts up a lighthearted post about his or her personal observations (hi, Naomi!) and then everyone piles on to correct her. |
The law of unintended consequences is unavoidable, and in any case, the campaign promises are often meaningless. W. Bush, for example, promised a compassionate conservatism and a humble foreign policy. Bush unwisely bet his entire presidency on the war in Iraq, and although he eked out reelection, once people really started paying attention his popularity plummetted and he was unable to enact much more of his agenda such as the reform of social security. Similarly, Clinton’s unwise decisions effectively neutered him in the last years of his presidency. So character and judgment are important, as are those with whom one surrounds oneself. Are they cronies like Gonzales who only tell you what they know you want to hear? Do you think it’s a good idea to put your personal friend on the supreme court above hundreds of better qualified possibilities? In this respect, I find Obama far superior to Hillary Clinton. He has imaginative and thoughtful advisors and is endorsed by the more independent minds of the party. She is surrounded by partisan hacks, prizes loyalty above all, and is supported by the most hidebound and slerotic elements of the party establishment. Another reason to admire Obama is that he rarely panders to his audience, often telling them hard truths they may not want to hear. In Michigan, for example, he lectured the auto industry on its failure to improve fuel efficiency. Contrast this with Romney, who this week is telling Michigan that he will fight to bring all the jobs back, even though he knows this will not happen, even though his whole career at Bain Capital was involved with ruthlessly firing workers in less productive companies and industries in order to earn a higher return elsewhere. Geoff B. has suggested that we are seeing the real, unfettered Romney who is now free to be what he always was, that he was never really the moderate he pretended to be. Or would he jettison his more extreme campaign trail positions, if elected, and govern with a measure of sanity? In either case, his recent behavior has made it difficult for me to respect him. |
# ( Peter, Your first-hand knowledge? You sound fairly biased yourself. Nate simply offers Hamer and you an opportunity to prove Mitt as being otherwise, but you only built up Mitt’s credibility by attacking Nate. Did anyone else hear/know that Obama is a smoker? My disgust with this news doesn’t necessarily stem from being Mormon, but rather from my experience with smokers. Its a tough thing to get past for a Presidential Candidate. And I was leaning towards this guy. |
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/11/AR2007021101336.html |
“Another reason to admire Obama is that he rarely panders to his audience, often telling them hard truths they may not want to hear.” Is it just me or is anyone else reminded of William Shatner’s infamous “Get A Life” sketch on Saturday Night Live. |
Naomi!!!! How could you do that?? How could your dad LOL. Actually, I would love to vote for my kids, it would be my Jewish mother thing, knowing what’s best. Mitt said last night on Larry King that while he had come in second, he still had the most votes. How does that work? Condoleeza Rice is the opposite of Hillary. While Hillary is brimming with personality (even if I don’t like it) Condoleeza has none. I don’t think people would relate to her at all. It would be like voting for a robot. I read Larry King’s (first?)book last night and he writes glowingly of Mo Udall. He says he was one of the funniest politicians he ever met. My friend in Vegas used to like Obama, but she said he started to seem too canned, too smooth, too polished and rehearsed and now she’s going to vote for Hillary. She’s a liberal atheist Democratic Nazi environmentalist (and one of my dearest friends) and I’m me. We never fight, we laughingly disagree. But that’s how she’s seeing Obama now. He is starting to seem that way to me, too, and Romney less so. George Romney self destructed because he told the truth about the Vietnam War. He might have been a good president, who knows. |
Really? Because I know more than one person that worked with him while he was here doing the Olympics that describe him as phoney. You can also add stiff and treats subordinates like garbage to the list of characterizations that I’ve heard more than once. |
I’m thrilled that the top choices include a black man, a woman, and a Mormon. I gave a wee bit of money to Obama and Romney because those were the candidates that I thought would be the most thrilling to have run against each other. And really, I think either would be fine. Neither would destroy the country or run it into the ground. All the passion is saved for those whom I don’t want to see get the nominations or, heaven forbid, the actual office. Both Giuliani and Hillary seem to lack honesty in their dealings. Giuliani, specifically, from the stories out of New York and his associates’ persistent habits of getting incarcerated, seems like a cheap crook. |
anne,
Because he won second place in two contests behind two different first place winners. As such, his two second place finishes gave him more votes than the other two candidates who were ahead of him. |
Romney has worked with many people who haven’t been on his payroll–in his church service for example. The article in the Trib that Jack linked to goes into detail in that area. Besides, the vast majority of those who have been on his payroll in the past are no longer on his payroll. To me, that says a lot. I agree that people are hesitant (and wisely so) to disparage current employers. But who can’t resist taking an opportunity to take a swipe at their old (and allegedly phony) boss. I just don’t see it.
O.K. So what does that tell me? Not much. It tells me that some nameless person who you know formed an opinion about something and then told you about it. What were the circumstances of the alleged phoniness? Is the “more than one person” willing to provide witnesses and/or go on record with their accusation–i.e. printing their story with their real name attached to it? If a story/accusation can’t be verified, why even bring it up? How could it possibly be defended against? Comes across as a bit gossipy, don’t you think? I would prefer to get the facts from the “more than one person” that you know (and maybe a few other people that were there) and then decide for myself, rather than simply regurgitating the conclusions of others. So if you have the facts or can get them from the “more than one person” that you know, please share them with me. I’m not saying that there isn’t legitimate negative criticism about Romney. But taken as a whole, I just don’t see (and I’m still looking) enough evidence to label the guy as a phony–that’s pretty harsh criticism for a guy who appears to have tried to do his best throughout his life. And I’ll cite the SL Tribune article http://www.sltrib.com/ci_7943560 as a reference for making that statement. |
For the breakdown of delegate votes check here: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/#R |
Sorry Nate, I can’t give facts. Not because it didn’t happen, but because I work for the people that witnessed the behavior. They were willing to share details with me, but I’m not willing to share more because of how it could affect relationships in the industry I work in. They aren’t willing to share more because he’s gone from “guy that saved the Olympics” to national candidate. They stand to lose too much by speaking badly of the guy most Mormons in Utah will vote for while trying to run a business in that same state. Besides, you really question his being phony after the NRA mistake he made? He panders like every other politician. And like all politicians, he’s phony. |
Then it sounds like we can both agree that your comments are hearsay and should be ignored. From American Heritage Dictionary: hear·say (hîr’sÄ’) And now back to Naomi’s original post… I don’t have a problem with people voting for Obama simply because he is black. Or for Clinton because she is a woman. Mitt Mormon. Huckabee Evangelical. Everyone has their reasons. Which is why I’m glad we each only get one vote. I personally don’t think I would ever do that–though it would most likely be an improvement. For example, I would be willing to vote for Clinton or Obama in the general if Huckabee were to win the Republican nomination. Not because I think Obama or Clinton would be “the best person”–in fact my vote for them would have absolutely nothing to do with them personally (or their demograpic situation). I would vote for the Democrat because I think all 3 (Clinton, Obama, Huckabee) would be more or less the same and I would rather that a Democrat got the blame for the inevitable mediocrity–thus limiting our great nation to 4 years of damage instead of 8 or 12. |
Queuno: Mo Udall would have been the first Mormon president whether or not he was “active,” because being raised Mormon still informed who he was back in an era when being Mormon was much more of an ethnicity than it is today. I think insisting on him being active is like insisting Obama is not “really black,” due to the fact that he is the son of an immigrant instead of the son of slaves. Nate: I made the determination that Romney was a phony by watching him give speeches, interviews and participate in debates over the course of the past year. I don’t need to rely on the testimony of witnesses. Meanwhile, I voted for him in today’s Michigan primary, as I explained here: http://mormonmatters.org/2008/01/15/why-i-voted-for-mitt-in-todays-michigan-primary/ |
Romney isn’t my first choice for president (Giuliani) or even my second (Thompson), and if Rice were running, I’d vote for her above everyone else in a heartbeat (I actually have a “Condoleezza Rice for President” sweatshirt I bought several years ago; used to wear it in DC at the gym). McCain…I would vote for McCain over Clinton, but I’m not sure I’d vote for McCain over Obama; I’m enough of a political junkie and spent enough years in Washington to know that McCain has a vicious temper when provoked and can be rather arrogant under even the best of circumstances. And I’d vote for Obama before I’d vote for Huckabee. That said, I’d like to see Romney do well, which I guess is what identity politics feels like. I don’t think I’d feel that way if it weren’t for all the anti-Mormon crap that’s been flying around; I certainly didn’t have the same feelings about Orrin Hatch doing well in 2000, though I certainly wished him well. (I actually knew and liked Sen. Hatch; we attended the same ward in Oakton [VA] back in 1996-97, and I backed him up as Gospel Doctrine teacher when he couldn’t do it, while my teenage son home-taught his family.). I’d still prefer to see Giuliani or Thompson win the GOP nomination, and I actually have some hesitations about Romney winning the nomination (if you thought the anti-Mormon stuff was bad now…). But I wouldn’t mind seeing Romney in the VP slot. ..bruce.. |
Well, folks, Romney is back in the house. |
Thanks to everyone for posting. This is the lazy woman’s way of getting political opinions (or at least political history). jjohnson (if you’re still reading)–I’ve had some similar concerns about whether Romney is just telling people what they want to hear–just sticking to a party line. Is that what you mean by phoniness? If so, then do you think this could translate into White House wimpiness, in which he just lets his PR people tell him how to appear in front of the camera? If you mean something else by phoniness, what is it? Does being phony pose political dangers if this person were elected? I personally don’t like phony people as friends (although they make easy friends…and I am lazy…), but would someone being phony necessarily disqualify him or her from doing a good job as a political leader? |
Naomi, great post. Beware of Obama — he’s just John Edwards with kind words, big ears, and long fingers. It does remain to be seen whether he can outdo the Clintons when it comes to I-feel-your-pain politics. But in the end, all that any of them offers is the standard Democratic yarn about how everybody sucks and they can’t help it and only the government can make them whole. You’re right that the question “will I be able to tell my kids and grandkids that I didn’t vote for the first black contender for president?” is a striking one. What occurs to me when I read it is that the speaker is a racist. Which of the following should be more important: America’s policy toward Iraq or the color of the president? I could go on and on. (Feel free to substitute the word gender for color in the above questions.) I wonder what NPR would have reported about a someone who mused, “will I be able to tell my kids and grandkids that I didn’t voted against the first black contender for president?” For my part, I will only be excited about electing the first black president of the first woman president when that president is a Republican. I, for one, would love to annex Britain and draft Margaret Thatcher. |
Katie P, you rock…that is so cool. I might donate money to opposing candidates as well. They said Romney needs over 1000 votes. He has 40 something. He’s got a long ways to go. |
Meant no offense to anyone with earlier comments. I think it is obvious that throughout Romney’s political career, he has tried to identify hot button topics like abortion in Mass., Immigration for the GOP etc. He overtly plays up his similarities and downplays differences to such an extent that I think sometimes he does give people the wrong idea. This tendency of his may not have always been the smartest political move. However, I don’t fault a guy for doing everything within his power to get into office–as long as it is legal and moral. I guess the difference between myself and others is that I think Romney is genuinely in the race so that he can make a positive difference–while others would question his motives. The evidence I’ve seen–from many different accounts of people who know him–is overwhelmingly positive. He has made a lot of good impressions on people over the years and I think what most of them have to say is a strong testimony of his character. Found this NY Times opinion article: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/15/opinion/15barnett.html?_r=2&ref=opinion&oref=slogin&oref=slogin I think it illustrates well what I’m saying. |
Re: this statement: As you have already admited your voting record until 24 was actually your dads, are you actually having a hard time breaking away from a party or from outsourcing your duty and privelege to vote? I know I will sound very naive in saying “which platform would get Jesus’ vote?” but, really, would he vote for tax breaks for the rich and continued war? Can’t see it happening. Obama has my vote, campaign contributions, and about a year of volunteer service so far. Read his books–he actually is as good as he seems (although a tad over-exposed at this point). Clinton is growing on me, but she has WAY to much baggage to get anywhere–a hate magnet if ever there was one. I wonder if you have ever heard your grandparents boast/lament their votes of the past? I would guess not, but some diehards might. Voting for demographical similarities is ridiculous unless you agree with their platform/goals. Rice has proven absolutely inept in her government positions so far, I sure wouldn’t consider promoting her. NPR ombusmen audited NPR coverage and found that Clinton gets called Hillary so often because she asks people to call her Hillary. Also, old habits die hard and people are used to calling her Mrs. Clinton. All candidates tend to be called by only their last name after the initial mention. |
Shouldn’t we call her, “Ms. Clinton”? The honorific “Mrs” is intended to reflect the husband’s name, hence the out of date usage from a few decades ago might refer to her as “Mrs. Bill Clinton.” If my memory is correct, as recently as the 1969 edition of Etiquette Emily Post (actually, Elizabeth Post — another accomplished woman who was no friend to feminism) advised women against using “Mrs” with their own names (e.g., “Mrs. Hillary Clinton”) because it properly goes with the husbands name, even when abbreviated to the family name (“Mrs. Clinton”). Anyway, I think that it’s kinda cool that if she were to be elected president, we’d call her “Madam President.” a spectator, the problem with asking “what would Jesus would vote for?” is that people who do it always put loaded questions into His mouth. One could just as easily ask if Jesus would support a fair and equitable tax structure. Anyway, “tax cuts for the rich” is such a tired refrain. Perhaps it would hold more water if it weren’t used to fight every tax cut proposed in the past 25 years, and even non-tax cut policy issues like the indexing of tax-brackets for inflation (Reagan’s triumph over Democrats and over your fictional Jesus). Or perhaps you’d prefer a return to the tax code of the late 70s, in which the highest tax bracket was 70% and few rich people paid any taxes at all. |
DKL–I would favor scrapping the tax system we have and starting from scratch (not Huckabee style) but that probably won’t happen. Sorry if “tax cuts for the rich” sounds tired–so does “feed my sheep” but the fact the the sentiment has been around for a long time does not mean it is inaccurate. I would guess we will always disagree about taxes but usage, well, there is a subject near and dear to my heart: the issue is that Mrs. Clinton ought to be called Senator Clinton as her oppenants also in the Senate are accorded the title and to omit it with her and call her Mrs. Clinton or (her prefered) Hillary makes the press sound like they are being mean to her. |
Hmm. I think that, all things considered, given the options, you’re best off going with “curphoughill.” That has the advantage of using the gh, which was part of George Bernard Shaw’s famous rant about the English language where he argued that “fish” might as well be spelled “ghoti.” |
I think scraping the tax code is a bad idea simply because there is so much there to deal with so many special cases. Yes, almost surely there are loopholes and then explicit loopholes created for pork reasons. But often there are good reasons to tweak the tax code for incentives and so forth. Don’t get me wrong, I think we could use a lot of tax reform. But folks promoting extreme positions aren’t helping maters. Plus I remember the attempt in Canada at a national sales tax: the GST. Hated it. Hated it. Hated it. You have no idea how much I hate it. And of course in Canada the national income tax wasn’t scrapped just because there was a national sales tax. It probably wouldn’t be in the US either. |
DKL – I often think flip flopping charges are unfair. I actually think that with many of the charges against Kerry and Romney as well. The problem both had though was how they handled the charges. It bespoke some communicative incompetence. However Romney also has just done tons of things that made him look very opportunistic. Some may have been political dirty tricks. (I’ve heard, for example, mixed stories about the “no muslims in the cabinet” quote and the “I saw the MLK march” quote) But some just are indefensible such as trying to portray himself as a hunter. Don’t get me wrong. I’m glad he’s pro 2cd amendment which is better than most Democrats. (All of them? It was asked at the debate last week with in my view scary answers) I actually think it was the hunting gaffe that turned me from pro-Romney to being pretty underwhelmed by him. I will say that I think he’s done a much better job this week. I’m mixed on who I’ll vote for come February. If Thompson is still in the race I’ll probably pick him. Otherwise it’ll be a tossup between Clinton or Romney (simply because I find Obama’s foreign policy very scary and figure some Democrat is likely to win – plus the Clintons are nothing if not pragmatic) Actually now that I think about it I’m not sure about Utah’s primary rules. I’m registered independent so I’m not sure what the rules are. |
DKL – I agree that Obama and Edwards are closer in many ways than most seem to be aware. I think the media is giving Obama (and McCain) a pretty easy ride. While some of the Clinton complaining is on par with the “vast right wing conspiracy” stuff some of it is actually valid IMO. Both Edwards and Obama have amazingly frightening foreign policy views IMO. (Although I know the true progressives will say the opposite) However Obama did an interesting bit of triangulation on things like social security and health care where he came out to the right of Clinton. I suspect that’s partially what you mean by flip flopping. I’m not sure how to take his “no mandates” comments. Personally I think one big thing the government could do to improve and reform health care is simply make all insurance companies use the same form to have doctors use. It’s resolve a huge problem of waste and make doctor’s lives easier. |
Jack – thanks for fwding the link to the trib article. very cool (and it’s in the trib – i’m surprised the editor let it slip thru :) bfwebster – I agree about the VP preference for Romney. Conversely, if he got knocked out, he could come back in 4 yrs if he turned the auto industry/MI economy around in the meantime (sounded like a Plan B to me when he was speaking in MI). I have a (non-LDS) friend at work who met Romney at Harvard and found him to be very impressive and personable. Most guys with a Harvard degree would be getting the same “phony” epithet. He’s a business man–call it “phony” or just professional, polished, rich and good looking. As a businessperson, I trust him (it’s the same reason I like Obama). I also like Thompson, but better if he would wake up. I also have a nephew (non-LDS) who is a political consultant who says Romney’s the only honest one in the lot and the rest are pretty much b*stards. So, not necessary to be on the payroll to like him. I imagine it’s situational like with all of us. |
Clark – some information about the Utah primary is available at http://www.leaveyourprint.com/faq.html Here’s a pertinent quote: “The [Western States Presidential Primary] is a closed primary for both parties. You can only receive a republican ballot if you are a registered republican. You may change to the republican party at the polls if you are registered as unaffiliated. You can only receive a democratic ballot if you are a registered democratic or unaffiliated.” Assuming “unaffiliated” is no different than “independent”, you get to vote Democratic or become a Republican. And I prefer to say “get to” as opposed to “have to”. It makes people think I’m not a whiner. |
Mo Udall would have been the first Mormon president whether or not he was “active,†because being raised Mormon still informed who he was back in an era when being Mormon was much more of an ethnicity than it is today. I think insisting on him being active is like insisting Obama is not “really black,†due to the fact that he is the son of an immigrant instead of the son of slaves. But we live in this era, not that one. In this era, do we really consider Mo Udall a “Mormon” just because he was born one. I don’t buy that having once been baptized into the Church means I’m “Mormon”, if I haven’t bothered to practice it for years. For me, the idea of identity is an interesting topic. Did Udall even consider *himself* a Mormon? Would he have touted himself the first Mormon president? Or are we as a cultural Church so starved for cultural celebrity that we’ll latch onto anyone who may have been a Mormon at one time (but isn’t by any stretch anymore)? (Christina Applegate, anyone?) I’m oft reminded of Tiger Woods claim that he was “cablinasian”, a not-so-subtle reminder at the time that just because we saw him as black, he didn’t necessarily see himself that way. I can’t find the quotes anymore, but Halle Berry and Jason Kidd have commented before that their white parents had just as much to do with their success but aren’t counted in the racial scorecard. At the same time, I’m leery of letting people define themselves when it comes to participation in a group based on activity or “merit”. Katherine Heigl still touts herself a Mormon, but it’s more of a label than anything. |
You know, with any luck, it won’t even occur to our children that we should have cared whether it was the first woman/black/Mormon/Italian. Christopher Hitchens has more. |
Hmm. Interesting “Duke.” So I have to decide how to play things. I’ve actually been somewhat interested in getting more active in politics once I’m not so ridiculously busy. Outside of Hatch I like most of my representatives. I need to read up more on State politics though as that’s where the real issues are. But few know what goes on in their state houses. |
“However, I don’t fault a guy for doing everything within his power to get into office–as long as it is legal and moral. I guess the difference between myself and others is that I think Romney is genuinely in the race so that he can make a positive difference–while others would question his motives.” Misrepresenting your positions or changing them opportunistically might be legal; its morality, though, is manifestly questionable. Whether or not someone genuinely wants to make a positive difference, there are limits to the means which that end will justify. I don’t think he wants to be president so he can indiscriminately slaughter puppies, I just think he’s a pandering, consultant-managed, stuffed-shirt, prevaricating candidate. |
A perhaps more unsettling aspect of Romney’s campaign is that he’s singlehandedly proving that the most important part of winning in American politics is not character or ideas or courage or even stage-management; it’s money. His political fortunes will stand or fall on the foundation of his campaign war chest and nothing else. |
Brad, it seems to me that he’s not proving that in the least given the success of McCain and Huckabee both of whom had nearly no money. Further most of the money problems are due to McCain-Feingold. McCain reaps what he sowed. |
still, Clark, his overall political fortunes seem to be tied to $ more than to anything else. |
To add it’s been widely reported that the rise of the internet and constant 24 hour news cycles actually makes it much easier to successfully run for President with little money. A decade ago McCain would have been out last September. |
Brad, I’m just not sure I can agree with that in the least. |
I’m not saying that’s the case with all candidates, but it seems to be so for Mitt. Maybe that’s just a function of the kind of campaign he’s choosing to run — more catholic than the pope, a stereotyped-to-the-point-of-caricature, don’t-pay-any-attention-to-my-checkered-maverick-past Republican as an agent of “change.” He wouldn’t even be a second-tier candidate if his campaign wasn’t a money raising machine of staggering proportion. |
Actually, Clark, a decade ago, the campaign would barely have been underway last September. This time, the Republicans, for example have already had 20 candidate debates, dating back to May of last year. The Democrats have had 22, the earliest last April. In 1991 Clinton didn’t announce his candidacy until October. http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/01/31/opinion/meyer/main2419923.shtml |
His image problem seems to be the product of over-consultation. He has tried to be all things to all people rather than firmly being who he is. He can only get so far on looks & money, because as a nation we like the underdog/rags to riches story. We’ll see on Leno tonight if he can strip away the other personas and be who he really is. And frankly, who he really is probably won’t appeal to the populist/NRA part of the GOP base (he’s too rich and his teeth are too white), or to others who will find him too squeaky clean to identify with. |
I completely agree “Hawkgrrl.” But that over-consultation makes him seem very artificial and untrustworthy. My feeling is that this judgment by the population is established enough now that it will be tremendously difficult to overcome. Bill, that’s a good point but ends up being beside the issue. The campaign, for various reasons, got underway early this time. (Personally I blame McCain-Feingold in large part: it’s harder to raise money) Brad, Romney was the early establishment leader which then in turn netted him a lot of money. But the story isn’t that Romney was raising lots of money but rather how little all that money has gained him. He’s still in a weak position and will have his work cut out for him to beat McCain. |
“But the story isn’t that Romney was raising lots of money but rather how little all that money has gained him.” I think that comment encapsulates his candidacy pretty succinctly. The only thing keeping his transparent artifice from tanking his campaign from the get-go has been pouring money into advertising like a drunken sailor. He can’t sustain this, so unless the other candidates manage to somehow inadvertently conspire to deliver him the de facto nomination by taking each other out on his behalf, he’s finished. Either way, he will not be our next president. |
Clark, [Brad] “how little all that money has gained him?” Don’t tell me your falling for the Huckabee one note Whine: “we were outspent [20-50] to 1 here in [state that he just lost in] and were still able to come out with a [place other than first]“. Guiliani and Romney have received comparable campaign contributions (including what Romney has put in). Rudy is a national hero. Rudy has spent all of his money. What has it gotten him? Rudy is statistically tied with Romney and 2 others in Florida. McCain is also a national hero with plenty of name recognition? And what has he done? Won NH. Barely. Mitt has spent his money wisely. Romney has run an amazing campaign. Made a few mistakes and got a few unlucky breaks. But if he can pull out the nomination (and maybe even if he doesn’t), his innovative tactics will be studied/copied for some time. Bottom line: Romney would have the nomination locked up right now if it was not for one thing: Mike Huckabee. Mike Huckabee is competitive in this race for one reason: his evangelicism. There isn’t much that Romney could have done differently to defend himself against the onslaught of bigotry and nepotism (from Huckabee’s evangelical brothers and sisters) that he has–so far–managed to survive. |
Hi, a spectator (if you’re still reading)– No, I was excited to go to the polls for the first time (and a little shame-faced, too, since by then, I’d finished writing an honors thesis on Mormon women’s contribution to female suffrage…blush). But I have to admit that I didn’t research the candidates or issues very well on my first several elections, so I was casting votes on pretty shaky grounds–which name sounded the nicest, who gave me a pamphlet right before I got to the polls, etc. It’s none too admirable that it’s taken me this long to really approach elections the right way, but I am enjoying this campaign season because it feels good to me to actually be forming independent opinions on these issues. Anyway, that was a bit of a ramble. BTD Greg–right on. I really hope that a candidate’s demographics won’t be a big deal in the near future because we will be so used to the successful tenures of lots of different people. |