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A big exaggeration and a little whiney. The entire system of taxation is a socialization of profits on a huge scale. The bail outs are a tiny exception. One could debate the merits of the bail out–and there is some hypocrisy among free marketeers who hate government intervention except when they like it–but overall his statement is hyperbole. Also, one could argue that the government is simply protecting future revenues. If this 85 billion saves the economy from a meltdown, then it will pay off bigtime come tax season. |
I see it as a re-wording of a specific complaint, which I’ve also heard some people make. The basic complaint is that the heads of these companies (that are now going belly-up or being bought out) made irresponsible decisions and that the government is now bailing them out. From some of what I’ve read, there was a total culture of irresponsibility in regards to granting loans and home mortgages. |
interesting – yes there was a lot of irresponsible behavior, but if the Government did not act, then you risk having the entire financial system collapse and as sl said, we would have much larger problems. It remains to be seen how far reaching the collapse will be. |
I can’t really disagree with the government rescuing the entire system when it is at risk of total collapse. I wonder though, what the ramifications are of the government getting into the insurance business (AIG). |
Right now we’re stuck. There isn’t a mechanism to punish those that have been irresponsible without punishing everyone else even more. Unfortunately there isn’t a way that I know of to put these people in jail or even confiscate their past profits. The real question is how to avoid this next time around so that big risks aren’t taken with the assumption of government backing. It seems to me that the best mechanism for this is a regime of quickly adaptable regulation that can adapt to changing techniques and instruments. Of course a crystal ball would also be nice. |
Mark Cuban’s assessment and solution: |
Queuno, wow. That Mark Cuban summary of the negative effects of golden parachutes on the economy – it seems to hit to the heart of the question.
I wonder how true that is … but it seems like a sensible conclusion. After all – if you take a high risk option and succeed, you are instantly a genius. If you fail and get fired, you still walk away with all that money. |
Cuban is right about the dangers of “F U money”. Once you have that kind of money, you are likely to say “F U” if money was your motivator. |
The links in the Cuban article also deserve special attention: Unbelievable. Then again, very believable – if one is cynical about human nature. |
note that Carly Fiorina of HP fame said yesterday that neither McCain nor Palin could run a large company. This while in the role of a McCain surrogate. The campaign has asked her to please shut up. |
I see myself as mildly fiscally conservative, meaning that I usually think that the invisible hand usually ought to be left to do its thing, with some light regulation stringently enforced when market participants find themselves incapable of maintaining even a low level of ethics. As such, I find myself conflicted here. My primary instinct is to let these companies fail, since they took unreasonable risks. That is, the Adam Smith in me is saying that others with better business philosophies and practices ought to take their place. But I find myself instead agreeing with this statement from ARJ at comment 5: “There isn’t a mechanism to punish those that have been irresponsible without punishing everyone else even more.” That is, if AIG goes under in a “disorganized fashion” (that’s the fed’s term, not mine), the biggest loser here is going to be the American consumer who did nothing more than buy insurance. And there’s a good chance that if AIG fails, several other large financial institutions will go with it, thus punishing the otherwise solvent American consumer even more. But then again, AIG provides much of the financial backing of ManU, and I hate ManU probably only third to the Yankess and the Lakers, so maybe it wouldn’t be such a bad thing if they went away. |
She said the same about Biden and Obama too. (Which didn’t get quoted) Her point was that being President wasn’t like being a CEO. I don’t think I agree. While the skills don’t exactly correspond I actually think that being a successful CEO would be valuable as President. But in the current environment where everyone is quoting everyone else out of context folks should be really careful what they say. |
arj, I know that’s what Obama has been pushing, but he’s distorting it. An interviewer asked Fiorina directly asked whether John McCain could run a large company. Fiorina then drew a categorical difference between successful public governance and successful governance in the private sector by poniting out that none of the candidates for president are qualified to run a fortune 100 company. This is inarguable. Of course, Obama (classy as always) pulled a Charles Gibson, and truncated the portion of Fiorina’s answer that said, “neither could Obama and Biden,” pushing this quote fragment onto the airwaves. McCain tried to push reform of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in 2005 when a government audit showed major malfeasance, but the Democrats blocked it, and nothing was done. Two former Fannie Mae CEOs (James Johnson and Franklin Raines) are Obama advisers. Obama received more than any other Senator from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. |
ARJ, at least try and be fair. She said no one on a major party ticket could. |
I won’t lie. Recent economic events are scaring the heck out of me. I can see things really collapsing. It’s like two people being on a sinking boat and arguing who’s fault it is rather than trying to stop it from sinking. |
One political science professor who said, “The American economy has now demonstrated that it privatizes profit and socializes loss” was George Will, who said it in the green room video segment of This Week available online. George Will also pointed out that Greenspan’s statement to the effect that this is a once-a-century banking meltdown emphasized that this sort of thing can only happen in a healthy economy. On a side note: When liberals try to poke fun at conservative, pro-market by talking about the obvious need for government intervention, they’re demonstrating how little they know about conservatism. They might as well poke fun at conservatives using The Jungle. The only question is how much intervention, and whether one errs on the side of less tolerance for instability or on the side of less tolerance for interference. |
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The Federal Housing Enterprise Regulatory Reform Act of 2005. It says it was never debated nor voted upon. I do wonder why McCain isn’t shouting this from the rooftops. |
Tim, he has been. I don’t think McCain is particularly good on economics. But with this week’s events Obama looks bad and McCain quite good. |
I can’t find the MSM (outside of Fox News) mentioning it anywhere. |
KyleM, Ok, let’s be really fair. When asked about Palin she responded specifically that Palin could not run a company such as HP. Later in the day she was asked about that comment, repeated her comment about Palin, and then without being prompted added what she thought about McCain and then threw in that Obama and Biden couldn’t do it either. What is spectacular here is that she’s been the number one McCain surrogate for several weeks (if not months) now. Given what she did to HP and Lucent it is surprising that the campaign would want her as a surrogate. I’m guessing she won’t play nearly as much of a role going forward. DKL, Several people have been saying that we’re privatizing profit and socializing loss and variants of it for weeks now. There was an issue of Newsweek that came out around the end of July in which several economists said that over and over. It is catchy because it is simple and encapsulates what angers people over this situation. Ah, I’ve found it. Some examples: Robert Reich: Larry Lindsey: Jeremy J. Siegel: Peter Wallison: Notably two of the economists, John Snow and Robert Rubin, didn’t seem to bring up moral hazard as an issue. But 4 out of 6 ain’t bad. |
Kyle M, I’ll also add that dog bites man does not make the news, but man bites dog is lead story material. I’m not attempting to imply that anyone is a dog here. Also Carly should probably get some credit for being open with her opinion in this case rather than political. Perhaps I was too harsh on her. |
While it’s a catchy phrase and has some truth it seems hard to argue that even the rich haven’t lost a ton. They are the ones making most of these investments and seeing their stocks fall. Even companies that have been saved are hardly in as good a position as they were two years ago. |
a random john: Given what [Carly Fiorina] did to HP and Lucent it is surprising that the campaign would want her as a surrogate. I’m guessing she won’t play nearly as much of a role going forward. Actually, given that HP returned to profitability and growth the fiscal year after she left. This cannot be credited to the incoming CEO, because business results (like overtaking Dell as the top PC maker) aren’t that immediate. Many people think that Fiorina guided HP through difficult times, rebuilding the company and laying the foundation for its current success, and that management got cold feet and pulled the plug too soon. |
arj: Several people have been saying that we’re privatizing profit and socializing loss and variants of it for weeks now. There was an issue of Newsweek that came out around the end of July in which several economists said that over and over. It is catchy because it is simple and encapsulates what angers people over this situation. Yes, I’ve heard it before. That’s why I stated that Will was “one of them.” But let’s be perfectly clear about what failure we’re socializing when we bailout these companies. The “bad paper” that the banks are holding are mortgages to poor minorities so that they could not afford to buy houses. Shows what happens when you eliminate “red lining.” The Democrats should be shouting from the rooftops about how this helps the lower classes by making sure that a much higher percentage of them get loans (after all, only a small percentage of the high-risk mortgages have failed — enough to hurt the banks to be sure, but also enough to say that if all it took was a few hundred billion dollars from the US government, than this was a fairly successful program in increasing home ownership among the disadvantaged. |
Biden says paying higher taxes is “patriotic”. I’m thinking Obama may be regretting the Biden pick. I’m sure most of you have seen this, but had Palin committed this gaffe it would have made headlines: Note, state senator Chuck Graham wheelchair-bound. |
This kind of misses the point. What we are seeing with the bailouts now is just government trying to pick up the pieces of a system that went horribly wrong for other reasons. At a certain point, a company is simply “too big to fail.” You can’t let them go under because it would cause too much damage. But we didn’t get to this point primarily because of government bailouts. The housing bubble was a major reason for the risk-taking behavior. But another big reason was the PRIVATIZING of loss (contrary to the quote in the original post). This is how the credit industry works. All lending portfolios are insured and the insurance plans are traded on the stock market. So if you stopped paying on your VISA bill today and VISA either wrote the debt off as a loss, or if you discharged it in bankruptcy, VISA would not lose a dime. The debt is insured, and VISA would get the entire amount paid off, regardless of debtor behavior. This is just an example of consumer lending, but you can find similar incentives and behavior throughout the lending industry. There is no incentive for loss mitigation, so lenders aren’t quite so shy about taking on bad credit risks (ever see the Mastercard kiosk handing out free cell phones at Freshman Orientation?). This is an example of where the free market fails. The insurance scheme makes a lot of sense to the lender. But the scheme itself institutionalizes and encourages the kind of behavior that ultimately leads to market collapse. The appropriate response would be a reverse of the deregulation trend we are currently in. If the free market will not produce adequate safeguards, lenders must be forced by government oversight to do so. I can’t speak for other lending, but with consumer lending at least, I’d have a few suggestions. Caps on possibly interest rates, and definitely caps on fees and charges. Restrictions on who can be issued credit. Basically, if the lenders cannot be incentivized to act responsibly by the free market, government needs to step in and fill that role. The economic reason for government’s existence is to counter-act market failures. Well, the market just failed, I’d say. |
Mona Charen at National Review Online makes an interesting point about this banking meltdown:
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DKL, You and I both know that “world’s top PC maker” is a dubious distinction. There’s a reason that IBM got out of that game. |
Kyle M, I hope you now go after DKL for cherry picking the one paragraph from a three paragraph NRO post that wasn’t critical of McCain. :) I’ll be generous and fair and say that third paragraph is only implicitly critical of McCain and mentions Obama negatively as well. |
come on, arj. I picked the part that was the paragraph that was totally un-political, because I thought her point has the potential to be interesting, and if it’s going to be discussed, it shouldn’t be considered pro/anti-Obama or pro/anti-McCain. (The Enron regulations were bi-partisan.) It’s no secret that conservatives are unhappy with McCain’s Wall Street bashing. |
Everyone wants to claim he’s an innocent, the victim of others’ scheming, but if I buy overpriced stocks of hollow companies, or insure myself through an insolvent firm because that’s the one with low, low rates, the evil CEOs didn’t make me do it. Let the companies fail, and let their customers and investors fail with them. |
Mercy cannot rob justice, eh John? |
random John, I’m a bit curious how investing rather than paying down your debt has worked out in 2008. Has the return on your investments exceeded the interest on your debt? |
Wow. I guess I hit a nerve. |
However John (#31) that’s not really what happened. Could you have known 2 years ago that getting a loan at WaMu was a bad idea? Could you really have known that getting insurance at AIN was bad? That’s kind of an unfair stick you are using to judge. |
John, if you had invested in oil, silver or gold you’d be doing quite well. |
Clark, that’s true, although gold gave me a scare last week when it fell to the price of a year ago. Last fall, random John wrote about investing in reliable investments that provide a return on a par with mortgage interest. |
John Mansfield, I’m doing well. We’re finishing our basement. It made more sense to do it with cash as refinancing wouldn’t have worked. If we had plowed all our cash into our mortgage it would have been a mess. We’ve continued to dollar cost average into the market and are doing fine. Things have gone down but not as much as the market as a whole. Thanks for asking! btw, you do know that I was talking about long term, right? Because your question implies otherwise. |
Kyle M, Just wanted to know if what’s fair for the goose is fair for the gander. |
There are quite a few. Investing into funds that supply payday loans is still pretty solid and still gets you a return. My point was less about gold than just the fact that there are always investments you can do. Even in the stock market there’s companies that are up. Some companies, like Apple, are way down below worth and can almost certainly be counted on to return. Had I money I’d be investing it like mad in the stock market right now. Heck, I’d be investing in real estate like crazy. Amazingly low interest rates and no trouble getting a loan if you have good credit and houses are underpriced. Start looking around for some repoed homes that you can flip in two years (maybe renting out in the meantime) and you’d make a killing. Unfortunately all my money is invested in my business right now so I can’t do that. |
Being a landlord is a pain. Renting out a nice house is frightening. |
“Investing into funds that supply payday loans is still pretty solid and still gets you a return.” If you don’t mind selling your portfolio to Satan. |
DKL said:
That’s a big over-simplification and brings in an unnecessary racial component. I’ve watched the housing bubble and crash from what is probably the epicenter, Los Angeles. They gave bad mortgages to everyone. They weren’t worried about your race, religion or socio-economic status. A lawyer in Westwood can just as easily be underwater and in risk of foreclosure as a laid off Mexican construction worker in Riverside, except the lawyer is going to have a much bigger mortgage. Right now it’s affecting the lower socio-economic rungs largely due to the fact that they took on subprime mortgages with a shorter period before reset, versus many of the more wealthy borrowers who took on a lot of the option ARM mortgages, which haven’t begun to recast en masse, but will do so over the next few years with a vengeance. Sure the government, especially the Dems have pushed for higher home ownership rates, but they never forced these companies to make loans on homes that they knew would never be paid back, and then package them into bonds that were sold to all kinds of institutional investors and foreign governments who didn’t realize they were buying a bunch of financial turds. Watching this and the tech bubble of the late 90′s made me realize that the ones that really make out well in these kinds of situations are the financial companies. The masses get a temporary illusion of wealth (whether from their holdings in Pets.com or the 900 SF bungalow that quadrupled in value over about six years) only to have it crumble before them. Meanwhile the smart ones are collecting fees on the transactions that they are pushing, even though many of them have to know that what they are pushing is unsustainable and is ultimately going to come crashing back to earth. I remember watching the news about the massive Wall St. bonuses being doled out during the past few years, although it was pretty clear that this housing situation was going to end badly and that they were getting paid before it was clear that these clearly risky investments were going to prove that they would pay off. But do you think any of the executives or legions of other employees are going to give their bonuses back? Sure a lot of them are losing their jobs, but many, especially those in charge, have a ton of money and won’t think twice about leaving the taxpayers holding the bag. This has been a complete failure of oversight by the government and we are paying the price. I don’t know how you could look at it any other way. There is plenty of blame to go around on both sides of the aisle, but it’s clear that our current regulatory system needs some real changes. Not necessarily just more regulation, but Washington really needs to figure this out and come up with some effective regulation that still allows the economy to grow and innovate. I think a bit more moderate growth over the past few decades would have been a lot better for the country than the extreme boom-bust cycles that we’ve lived through. |
DKL #24 wrote: “The “bad paper†that the banks are holding are mortgages to poor minorities so that they could not afford to buy houses.” Ha? ‘That not make sense’ Doh! Or is it just redneck speak? Anyway, I honestly doubt that the republican establishment led by Bush and his cronies would change their ideology all of a sudden and socialize something -especially for minorities. Maybe we should look at this the other way by noting that they have stepped in only when the crisis became overwhelming and there is no other option here. Maybe people should be asking just how massive is this financial meltdown now that even the Republicans are willing to step in. And what’s around the corner now that the Republicans have added more zero’s to that massive fiscal deficit? |
39. You didn’t make DKL a gander until 29. You over reacted twice before that. But at least you admited to cherry picking. It doesn’t matter anyway. If the ability to be a Fortune 500 CEO was a requirement for POTUS, the Dems would give up and Romney would be the new President. Obviously, it’s not important for most of the country. Then again, if it weren’t for Huckabee, he might have. |
And I think you over reacted, so I suppose that we’re even. BTW, DKL made himself the gander. |
Seth, that’s a good point. I’m mixed on it. For one once you factor in all the fees credit card companies throw in for late payment, going over your limit, etc. and then the 22% interest compounded daily the difference between payday lenders and credit card are pretty miniscule. Second some people really do need emergency money. If these facilities weren’t there then these people would have nothing. The problem is that many (most?) people are not at all wise in terms of their personal economy. No one is forcing people to put $5000 on a credit card that they can’t pay off. No one is forcing people to buy a house they can’t afford. So long as one isn’t engaging in outright unethical behavior (i.e. lying or pressuring people) should we say the business is outright unethical? I don’t know. I certainly understand the view in which most people are unable to act as reliable free agents. Which is, I think, the polite way of saying most people are very stupid – something that people get upset at. But let’s be honest about what is being claimed about people – that they can’t be trusted on managing their own resources. I tend to think that people should be given freedom though. Find something deceptive? I’m all with you. Find something people misuse whether it be guns, credit cards, etc. and I’m more loath to restrict it. Having said that though one can say that such things ought be allowed but you shouldn’t invest in it simply because they are so abused. Say investing in rum or whisky. I’m much more sympathetic there but I’m loath to criticize people who disagree. (I have friends who’ve invested in payday loan funds even though I never have and aren’t sure I ever would) |
To add, the reason I think things is different with the banks is that they were following a methodology (wrapping loans together) that made consumers (other banks and investors) unable to know what was in the loans. Then some investors (stupidly) pressured banks for more of those which led to pressures on the people giving loans to regular buyers and led to even stupider loans. However the main problem was a lack of transparency. But if the government is going to be paying for these mistakes then the government ought be able to put in restrictions on it all (i.e. regulation). To me that’s acceptable just as it’s acceptable in any contractual negotiation. Say if you want insurance you have to abide by the terms of the insurance. |
Clark, The problem here seems to be that there is no time for negotiation. Perhaps I am wrong, but it looks to me like the gov’t is doing as it pleases now and will do as it pleases when it comes time to regulate. |
It seems to me that the issue fundamentally that what is being done now isn’t being done by the government. This is Pelosi’s and Reid’s fundamental complaint and appears shared by most Democrats and a surprising number of Republicans. But I thought the whole point was that these organizations weren’t supposed to be the government so as to keep it from the whims of populist (and frankly largely ignorant) forces. Yes the central bank and associated organizations are quasi-governmental. But I think it’s quite good they are independent. Where conservatives are getting upset is over whether they exceeded the limits of their power. i.e. their fundamental complaint is a rule of law issue. I’m neither a lawyer nor an economist. But a common view in America is it’s easier to repent than ask permission – especially in times when time is of the essence. And while I find that mindset disturbing in this case I think it’s appropriate. (It also isn’t clear that they have exceeded the powers granted them by Congress despite the uproar among the more libertarian and statist chattering classes) |
Has anyone noticed that the US government now owns the company (AIG) that is the principle corporate sponsor of the Manchester United soccer team? I think that Bush should have them to the White House or something. Or at the very least, Henry Paulson. Just to make us feel better about the whole transaction. Shoot, maybe people would show up for a Major League Soccer game or two, and it would create a speculative bubble surrounding Soccer franchises, which would result in new, heavily leveraged franchises popping up that would soon go broke after the enthusiasm died down from its peek at the time of the Manchester United/Paulson meeting, and then the banks would be stuck with a bunch of bad loans. On second thought, maybe Manchester United should just stay in England. |
The market’s assessment of Fiorina’s performance as CEO was decidedly negative. Not only did the stock lose half its value during her tenure, but it jumped 7% the day she was ousted. You can argue she was a great CEO or she was a terrible CEO, but the people who had money on the line collectively said her absence made the company 7% more valuable. |
Mathew #52, That provides some insight into what people think about AIG and the like… |
Mathew: the people who had money on the line collectively said her absence made the company 7% more valuable. One can’t reason from the fact that people took independent actions buying or selling a stock that they collectively “said” anything. It’s a bit mind-boggling to do so (literally), because it commits both the fallacy of composition and the fallacy of division at the same time. The fallacy of division by assuming that the collective effect of the actions is some gauge for the intentions or motivations of the people making them. The fallacy of composition by assuming that the individual decision to sell the stock “said” something collectively, rather than simply having a collective mathematical impact. |
I’m reading headlines this morning that are saying the investment banking model is being abandoned. Completely? … and what does this mean? |
Looks like the GOP is still doing everything it can to protect the richest Americans. The Democrats are angling to reduce the pay to executives of companies the government bails out but the White House is fighting hard against that part. WTF?? Here’s a quote:
It is starting to look like the Republican leadership knows where its bread is buttered and they are willing to ask any sacrifices of the richest Americans. (But the other 98% of us can sacrifice to support the rich of course.) I heard Donald Trump endorse McCain heartily on Larry King the other night. Is it any wonder? Obama want to cut taxes for 95% of us but raise taxes for the top 5%. Of course rich and powerful folks like Trump would be against that sort of populist economic policy. It was funny to even see Ben Stein disgusted with the GOP over this deregulation mess though. I am feeling pretty sheepish about voting Republican all these years. Their “protect the rich at the expense of the poor” policies seem to be directly contrary to my Mormonism. I have no idea why so many Mormons think the GOP is practically the other prophet. I suppose that promises of ending abortions and gay marriage are enough for Mormons to turn a blind eye to the reprehensible economic policies the GOP pushes (as the richest of the rich pull the policy strings behind the scenes). |
I think this is shaping up to be a classic political crisis. A political crisis one where the politicians are saying, “If we don’t do something quickly, people will solve the problem on their own. Quick, let’s act before they figure out they don’t need us!” |
Geoff J, that comment is downright silly. The problem is with mortgages. The president proposes that the Treasury Department absorb the mortgage problem. You may like or dislike the proposal, but the Democrats’ behavior cannot be justified. They’re gumming up the process of passing a bailout by trying to tack on all sorts of social policy. If pay-caps for failed executives are such a grand idea, then why don’t the Democrats (who have the majority) do it themselves apart from the bailout? The Republican Party is the party of the working man. That’s why it gets a much larger percentage of its money from $50 contributions and below. The Democrats are the ones who pander to celebrities. The reason most Mormons think the GOP is the other prophet is because they’re smarter than you. (Just kidding. I thought that sounded like a funny thing to say.) |
Jeff Bennion, I assume that you’ve got $700 billion? To be fair, the wealth of the 400 richest Americans increased by $640 billion during the last 8 years. If they were all so kind as to chip in perhaps we could solve this without government. |
“At a certain point, a company is simply ‘too big to fail.’” Maybe we should give some thought to preventing companies from growing to become a threat due to its size. And maybe nations, too. I think we were on the right track back when we were the United States (plural) instead of The United States (singular). |
Jeff, I think you make a great point. Americans’ behavior got us into this mess and Americans’ behavior can get us out. DKL #58, ARJ #59, There’s people out there that have earned their wealth and do good things with it. It’s silly to demand a slice of someone else’s pie for no other reason than that you don’t have one. Go get one. Focus that rage on the handful of Wall Street idiots that get rich off of risking your money and ‘golden parachute’ their way to solid ground when it all comes down. And the Americans who live by an income to debt ration rather than living by what they can afford from their savings. Most of us need to look at our own habits. Ya know, the prophets have been sayin for years… |
nasamomdele, It was an intentionally silly reply to Jeff Bennion’s silliness. I’m sorry that didn’t come through to you. However I will point out that I don’t want a slice of anyone’s pie. I’m doing just fine. I think it is Wall Street is looking for free pie at the moment. I’ll admit that this is odd to me given that the big 5 investment banks (now gone) gave out $36 billion in bonuses last year. I wonder what they’ve given out in bonuses over the last 5 years? Could they save themselves? |
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