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When did MoTab start making music videos? Are they trying to be cool now? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZQ7HDIDEFV4 |
What kind of fund is it in now? What kind of penalties do you have if you withdraw it? My immediate guess is no, don’t pull it out. |
Unless you absolutely need it, now would be the worst possible time to sell. Remember: buy low, sell high. You don’t want to sell at the bottom, you want to hang tough or even buy right now, if you can. Contributing to your 401k, taking maximum advantage of your employer’s matching money, is a great idea, but be very careful what funds you invest your 401k money and other retirement funds in. There are definitely a lot of really bad places to invest right now, but there are also some wonderful deals. Good luck. |
I should mention, however, that if you have any credit card or other high-interest debt, you should pay that off rather than invest in anything. No investment is better than paying off 20% credit cards. |
disclaimer: i’m not an investment professional. sounds like you could use one. what to do with your 401k depends on how long you (both) plan to work. if 65, that’s soon enough that you might want to move a healthy chunk to cash equivalents. if you plan to retire closer to 70, that gives you more time for the market to recover, so you could probably leave more in equities for a longer time. but I would take any money you need for the next 3-5 years out of the market. (I know Jim Cramer caused a stir by saying this on his program, but it’s standard advice.) one thing i would NOT do is to try to “time the market” by pulling all of your money out now and then trying to put it back in when stocks start going up. people who make their living as financial advisors can’t time the market, so you and i are nuts to think we can do it ourselves. reminder: i’m not an investment professional. i’d get a one-time consultation with one if you can. might be the best $ you can spend. |
You know, I just love how you guys all jump in when I ask for advice. I know this is personal, but I also know there are millions out there asking the same question, some of them Mormons. I wasn’t asking for myself, this topic needs exploring. Okay. Thanks, you guys, we do have a financial guy who takes care of our stuff and he’s a great guy. But he’s probably losing money as well now and we are being cautious. He’s advising to stay put. There will be penalties but we’re paying now because of the GM problem and the necessary borrowing from our savings. We have a friend whose house is paid off, but who never accrued any savings toward retirement. She has little debt and both she and her husband will get social security of course, but they have no personal savings. The cases run the gamut. I see young kids really struggling today with their debts and their kids. Credit card debt just wasn’t as rampant when I was raising my kids. One crash I anticipate is the credit card companies. Because they’re handing out cards like popcorn with huge limits to young kids who will never be able to pay off those debts. When that comes down, where will we be as a country? China will own us all, lock stock and barrel. While I was typing, I came to the conclusion that an all or nothing approach probably isn’t the way to go. What I was thinking is take 2/3 out, put a sum in the bank, keep a goodly amount of cash at home, pay off our bills (mostly medical, I’m such a drain that way), and then with the remaining 1/3, put half in mutual funds. Redistribute our wealth, as it were. I incurred a hefty credit card balance when we were separated, which I transferred to a 0% promotional deal for a year and hope to be able to pay down my debt with my salary. I think this would be better than using cash to pay it off because it improves our credit rating and lets us have our cash available for emergencies, of which I think there will be many in the next little while. But I’m leaving the last word with God. |
Well… I imagine I’m not exactly the person you want to hear from. You’re not going to get a lot of cheerfulness and warm fuzzies from a bankruptcy attorney. But I will say one thing. About 60% of my client base these days is coming from the age 50 and older demographic. One thing that always breaks my heart in these cases is how many of them desperately mortgaged their home, depleted their 401(k)s, and sold off various assets to try and get ahead of a credit card/medical debt that was, frankly, out of control and unlikely to be solved by such deductions. Then they finally say uncle and come to my office for help. It just kills me that all those assets they depleted – the 401(k), the house, the furniture, the extra vehicle, were all completely protected by the bankruptcy code, and if they’d just come and seen me one year earlier, I could have saved it all. I checked the Utah bankruptcy rules too, and they also seem to protect pension plans. Keep in mind Anne, I’m not making any implications or judgments about your situation. Your debt may be totally manageable, and your financial situation may be quite healthy (aside from a few bumps here and there). But do take the time to assess how manageable your debt is and make sure that, if the debt ever does get out of control, you don’t start wildly blowing all the assets you’re going to need to live off of just to try and stay ahead of Visa’s jacked-up 33% extortion racket. Just a little worst-case-scenario advice for you. |
We’d have to be really desperate to declare bankruptcy. I’d rather sell my house. No, it’s not that bad. I’m asking for retirees who aren’t necessarily in that dire a strait, I’m just wondering about leaving our money in retirement. We’re afraid we’ll lose it all. We’ve borrowed some the last few months due to slow sales, but we’ve lost times a lot more than that in the stock market fall. That’s what I’m asking about. I think a lot of people are wondering. Young people just starting out in a 401K, for instance, should they reconsider? I’ve thought we should sell our house and get a smaller house more conveniently located. Our house isn’t large, but we have a full basement and a 1/3 acre lot which requires a lot of upkeep. It’s so pretty we could sell it fairly easily, but we really don’t know what we want to do yet. I guess that’s part of the problem. I think if we did sell the house and get a smaller one, we could be out of debt altogether with lower monthly expenses. But Bill is quite attached to the yard. But thank you, Seth, I can see what you’re talking about. Medical problems are so huge, that’s one of the reasons I’ll be answering phones for AT&T for the next ten years, the insurance. |
I’m not worried about credit card companies going out of business. who really *needs* revolving credit? it’s a sheer convenience. Visa? seeya. MasterCard? bye bye. this is nothing like having a mortgage lender go under. |
Anne – I second what everyone has said, do not panic and think with a straight mind. Remember selling low is not a good idea. I also like Seth’s advice. Good luck to you. |
Young people just starting out in a 401K, for instance, should they reconsider? actually those are the folks who should be most enthusiastic about getting into the stock market…they have decades to wait out the fluctuations. |
I completely agree with #4. If you have ANY credit card or consumer debt it is worth making a withdrawal from a 401k to pay them off. Your investments may only make a few percent but it can be nearly impossible to pay off consumer debt making minimum payments. Last summer I cashed in one of my 401k’s and paid off two cars and all our credit card debt. It felt SO good to be debt-free (not counting mortgage and student loans) and my credit-score went WAY up over the next three months. When we suddenly encountered big medical debts it was very comforting to know that they were much more willing to work with us than credit-card companies would have been. And if the bottom should fall out from underneath us and we lose our jobs and have to go running to the bishop for help, (we have no family to help us), we know he will be much more supportive when we tell him we have no consumer debt. Aside from consumer debt, I would consider investing as much as you possibly can in a growth portfolio. “A risky growth portfolio? Heavens, why?” (I can hear lots of people asking). The market is at historic lows. Even over the few years that you have until retirement the market is likely, almost certain, to recover much of what it has lost. Many analysts see the markets recovering quickly, say in three to five years…which is just about the time you will be hoping, praying, and wishing for retirement. So why invest a bunch now? Here is a lousy, but real, example. I have a friend at work who bought a whole bunch of Ford stock just before Thanksgiving and sold it about a week later. He bought it at about $1.30 and sold it at about $2.30…he invested $5,000 and left with over $8,500 even after all the fees and everything. Now do I think that is a good investment strategy? Ummm…no. Although if I had a spare $5,000 that I could actually afford to lose then maybe, but that isn’t my life and I doubt it is yours. But my point is that over the next 5 to 10 years I think the market IS going to go up… a lot. A diversified but aggressive portfolio is likely to make a lot of money. Not in the next year, not in the next two years, but in the longer view of five to ten years. Five years ago Ford was at about $16, now it is at about $3. If you had bought it then you would be feeling pretty bad now. But if you buy good stocks now, when they are way down, you are sure going to feel good if they go up 300%-400% over the next many years. If Ford only makes it back to $6 instead of $16 it will still have doubled in value. The key is to pick good stocks. Which is why Ford may be a spectacularly BAD choice depending on who you ask! But the mutual funds are in the business of trying to figure out what is a good risk versus a bad risk. Your 401k managers are likely to make better choices overall than you or I. They will also make some incredibly bone-headed mistakes (as we have seen). But over the long run they are likely to serve you well. Ultimately you are right though, the best investment decision you can make is time invested in study and prayer. Continue researching the choices you have; talk to people you trust; follow correct principles taught by prophets, and have righteous desires in your heart. Then, whether your investments earn you a lot of money or you lose everything you will have peace in your heart which no amount of money can buy. |
Unless you absolutely need it, now would be the worst possible time to sell. Remember: buy low, sell high. You don’t want to sell at the bottom, you want to hang tough or even buy right now, if you can. Contributing to your 401k, taking maximum advantage of your employer’s matching money, is a great idea If you can hold on for five to six more years, you are probably (he says with a certainty of about 75%) better off to just hold on and keep your money where it is. For most people in their 50s and early 60s, whose health is good and whose life expectancy is solid, they are better off holding off retirement as long as possible. I give the current recession better than even odds of lasting at least three years before it turns the corner. Then another three years to recovery. I could be wrong. Obama’s capital improvement approach (possible paired with a 50 cents a gallon tax on gasoline to fund it) may neutralize things so that they turn around by late next year. We could have a much harder collapse than otherwise predicted, down to the failure of the internet. But, I’m anticipating an 1890s sort of problem, with corrections occurring. Total collapse, then money under the mattress is probably worthless as well. Early recovery, no harm done to retirement plans. But generally, holding on is by far the strategy favored by the odds. Of course that is a completely different issue if you have mounting bills you can not pay, etc. But for straightforward investment advice, hold on, put money in your 401k, especially if you are young. If you are old, and your physical health is starting to have limits, there is a lot to be said for we have a full basement and a 1/3 acre lot which requires a lot of upkeep and which would free up time and money if we sold it … (unless keeping the yard up is something that provides you with exercise and pleasure). Long term? Vanguard or Fidelity index funds. They outperform 95% of the market … http://ethesis.blogspot.com/2008/11/provident-living-or-surviving-next.html for my in depth analysis. |
Wow. there is some incredibly dangerous “financial advice” being given in these comments. I’m sorry, but anyone just a few years away from retirement should not be putting significant money in equities, or betting it all on a “growth portfolio” with expectations of great returns in the next few years. It’s heartbreaking to see so many that are so close to retirement have been wiped out this year, because they have neglected conventional wisdom and stayed in equities instead of switching to safer fixed income options as they near retirement. Those thinking that the recent stock market decline is just a blip in a secular bull market would be well served by studying historical market action following severe market crashes and/or recessions/depressions. It’s not uncommon for markets to give up 80-90% of their value in times like this, and remain flat for years. #12, your friend made a great trade (kudos to him!), but the market values Ford at 1.30 for a reason–there is a huge possibility of a bankruptcy which would wipe out shareholders. And #5, it is quite possible to “time the market.” However, i agree that it is not easy. I also agree that “financial advisors” cannot do this in general as they cannot trade their way out of a paper bag. I guess that is why they are advising others. As for selling low, low is relative. I agree now is not the ideal time to get out as the market will likely rally to a much better exit point. But I am completely confident we will make a lower low next year. |
Thanks, you guys, good food for thought. I’m fairly certain we’ll at least have our financial guy put our money into safer funds. I think we should have a fair amount of cash on hand—-we have some in our emergency kits, but I think we might need more. Actual cash, I mean. Then some in the bank here in Cedar. One thing about the house—we could probably fit our kids in if things got really tough, plus we have a nice shop in back somebody could live in. I’m really thinking survival here. Okay, this will blow your minds, but we’re also cleaning up our guns and taking stock of ammunition. We have three guns, which literally haven’t been used in years. The shotgun and the 22 in over 20! We were in CalRanch Christmas shopping Saturday and they were hawking guns like crazy and people were buying them! Stephen, don’t you think the millenium is going to come soon, relatively speaking? That’s another consideration. Most of our debt is medical, mine. Davey Ramsey the other night said the same thing you did, sell high, buy low and let it ride, but Woodboy has a point. Bill’s 61 and he’s slowing down a lot. My health is awful, I can’t see working for ten more years. I wish we could find a cute little house that we both fell in love with and I could talk Bill into parting with this house. Of course, then we couldn’t fit our 3 kids, spouses, and their kids when we all have to hunker down and shoot the neighbors. JUST KIDDING! |
This is the deal: we’re refinancing at a really low rate (we have stellar credit and equity); we’re leaving some of our money in stocks, transferring some to an FDIC secured IRA; and cashing in the rest the first of the year to: put most in the bank, put some in the mattress and pay our medical bills. It’s really inspired. |
Thank you for your help I enjoyed my visit and I’ll be back for more soon! |